Canadian LPs Continue to Lag American Cannabis Stocks in August with 7% Decline

Immediately after dropping much more than 11% in June with only a modest bounce in July, the Canadian Cannabis LP Index continued to struggle in August, losing six.7% to 266.31:

More than the previous year, the index has declined 62.1%:

The index remains substantially under the all-time closing higher of 1314.33 in September 2018, just ahead of Canadian legalization. In March, it posted a new 52-week closing low of 196.ten, a level not noticed considering that late 2016, and it closed 35.eight% above that level at the finish of August. The index has declined 32.four% from its close of 393.78 at the finish of 2019:

The Canadian Cannabis LP Index, which is rebalanced month-to-month, integrated 34 qualifying publicly traded licensed producers that traded in Canada at the finish of July, with equal weighting for each and every stock. Every single of the members is also integrated in a sub-index, with four in the Canadian Cannabis LP Tier 1 Index, 12 in the Canadian Cannabis LP Tier two Index and 18 in the Canadian Cannabis LP Tier three Index through the month. At the finish of June, we revised the guidelines for inclusion, requiring providers to have a price tag of at least C$.20 unless they are creating at least C$two.five million quarterly from their cannabis production operation. Previously, we expected income in excess of C$1 million for stocks trading under C$.20. There are at present more than two dozen publicly traded LPs that fail to qualify.

Tier 1

Tier 1, which integrated the LPs that are creating cannabis-associated sales of at least C$20 million per quarter, fell three.five% to 370.42. In 2019, it declined 38.five%, when it ended the year at 642.23, and Tier 1 remains the weakest sub-sector in 2020 just after declining 42.three% so far this year. We have enhanced the minimum income expected to be integrated more than time. In the course of 2019 and the 1st half of 2020, providers necessary to produce income in excess of C$ten million for inclusion. In 2018, we made use of C$four million as the hurdle.

This group integrated Aphria (TSX: APHA) (NASDAQ: APHA), Aurora Cannabis (TSX: ACB) (NYSE: ACB), Canopy Development (TSX: WEED) (NYSE: CGC) and HEXO Corp (TSX: HEXO) (NYSE: HEXO).

Amongst these biggest LPs by income, HEXO was the greatest performer, increasing three.three%. Canopy Development declined 12.1%, with Aurora Cannabis dropping five.six% and Aphria decreasing .five%.

Tier two

Tier two, which integrated the LPs that produce cannabis-associated quarterly sales amongst C$five million and C$20 million, fell eight.9% to 394.59. In 2019, it lost 44.three% just after closing at 569.54 and is down 30.7% in 2020. Prior to July, providers necessary income in excess of C$two.five million to be integrated in this tier.

This group integrated Aleafia Wellness (TSX: AH) (OTC: ALEAF), Auxly (TSXV: XLY) (OTC: CBWTF), Cronos Group (TSX: CRON) (NASDAQ: CRON), Delta 9 (TSX: DN) (OTC: VNRDF), MediPharm Labs (TSX: LABS) (OTC: MEDIF), Organigram (TSX: OGI) (NASDAQ: OGI), Radient Technologies (TSXV: RTI) (OTC: RDDTF), Supreme Cannabis (TSX: FIRE) (OTC: SPRWF), Valens Business (TSX: VLNS) (OTC: VLNCF), VIVO Cannabis (TSX: VIVO) (OTC: VVCIF), WeedMD (TSXV: WMD) (OTC: WDDMF) and Zenabis Worldwide (TSX: ZENA) (OTC: ZBISF).

The worst performers in this tier integrated Auxly, down 28.six%, Aleafia Wellness, down 18.two%, and Cronos Group, down 15.7%, even though Valens, up four.eight%, Organigram, up two.five%, performed the greatest.

Tier three

Tier three, which integrated the 19 qualifying LPs that produce cannabis-associated quarterly sales much less than C$five million, declined five.9% as it closed at 71.40. It ended at 96.76 in 2019, declining 45.%, and is down 26.two% in 2020. Six names in this group declined by much more than 20% even though 3 posted gains. The strongest performers, each of which gained much more than ten%, integrated TerrAscend (CSE: TER) (OTC: TRSSF) and Rubicon Organics (CSE: ROMJ) (OTC: ROMJF).

The returns for the general sector varied tremendously, with two names gaining much more than ten%, even though three declined by much more than 20%, with the complete group posting a median return of -7.9%:

For September, the general index will have 31 constituents, with the removal of 48North, Benchmark Botanicals, CanadaBis Capital and FSD Pharma, which no longer meet the guidelines, and the inclusion of Adastra Labs (CSE: XTRX). With its current quarterly income from Canada exceeding C$five million, TerrAscend (CSE: TER) (OTC: TRSSF) will move from Tier three to Tier two .

In the subsequent month-to-month assessment, we will summarize the functionality for September and go over any additions or deletions. Be positive to bookmark the pages to keep existing on LP stock price tag movements inside the day or from day-to-day.

Get ahead of the crowd by signing up for 420 Investor, the biggest &amp most extensive premium subscription service for cannabis traders and investors considering that 2013.

Alan Brochstein, CFA
Primarily based in Houston, Alan leverages his encounter as founder of on the web communities 420 Investor, the 1st and nonetheless biggest due diligence platform focused on the publicly-traded stocks in the cannabis sector. With his in depth network in the cannabis neighborhood, Alan continues to uncover new strategies to connect the sector and facilitate its sustainable development. At New Cannabis Ventures, he is accountable for content material improvement and strategic alliances. Ahead of shifting his concentrate to the cannabis sector in early 2013, Alan, who started his profession on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent analysis analyst following more than two decades in analysis and portfolio management. A prolific writer, with more than 650 articles published considering that 2007 at Searching for Alpha, exactly where he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at sector conferences and a frequent supply to the media, like the NY Occasions, the Wall Street Journal, Fox Organization, and Bloomberg Television. Get in touch with Alan: Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn | E-mail

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